Fraunhofer ISE Study 2021
Installed capacity of variable renewables (VRE) for electricity generation in Germany, scenario reference
Energy-Charts.info - last update: 11/13/2021, 9:17 PM GMT+1
Extreme Values
Source | Minimum | Year | Maximum | Year |
---|---|---|---|---|
Wind offshore | 8 GW | 2020 | 66 GW | 2045 |
Wind onshore | 64 GW | 2020 | 199 GW | 2045 |
Photovoltaic, roof, south | 38 GW | 2020 | 152 GW | 2045 |
Photovoltaic, roof, east-west | 16 GW | 2020 | 143 GW | 2045 |
Photovoltaic, open space | 6 GW | 2020 | 134 GW | 2045 |
Scenarios
Scenario | Description |
---|---|
Reference | The 'Reference' scenario serves as the basis for comparison with the other scenarios. The scenario represents a fully optimised scenario with reduction of energy-related CO2 emissions of 65% in 2030, 88% in 2040 and 100% in 2045. |
Persistence | The 'Persistence' scenario is based on the 'Reference' scenario. However, it is assumed that there will be greater resistance to the use of new technologies in the end-user sector. In the building sector, it is therefore assumed that there will be a partial insistence on gas boilers, a lower renovation rate, and a remaining proportion of combustion engines in individual motorized transport. |
Non-Acceptance | The 'Non-Acceptance' scenario is based on the 'Reference' scenario. However, it assumes a lower acceptance of large infrastructure measures, such as the expansion of wind energy plants, transmission grids and motorway overhead lines for heavy goods vehicles. |
Sufficiency | The 'Sufficiency' scenario is based on the 'Reference' scenario. However, it assumes a societal shift towards more sufficient behaviour and an increase in efficiency in a relevant range, which lead to a significant reduction in energy consumption. |
Fraunhofer ISE Study 2021: Paths to a Climate-Neutral Energy System
Scenario reference: without further boundary conditions promoting or aggravating the achievement of the objective.
Disclaimer: Transformation paths and construction/dismantling rates represent results of the mathematical optimization with REMod for the study "Paths to a climate-neutral energy system" and are not to be interpreted as a forecast.
Data Source: Fraunhofer ISE
Last Update: 11/13/2021, 9:17 PM GMT+1
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